access icon openaccess A review of power system predictive failure model for resilience enhancement against hurricane events

Abstract

Natural events such as hurricanes usually cause unimaginable destruction to the electric power system infrastructures across the globe leading to large‐scale power outages. While the transmission network offers relatively high resilience to the hurricane extreme wind speed intensity (HEWSI), the distribution power system network (DPSN) is always the worst hit. To enhance the DPSN against hurricane events, both the pre‐ and post‐event power system resilience enhancement techniques can be reviewed, and their limitations improved. Handling hurricane risks proactively for effective recovery plans requires rigorous techniques for locating and estimating the number of system component's damage causing outages on a DPSN. A review of the resilience evaluation methodologies utilized for a proactive statistical system component's failure predictive model is presented in this paper. As a contribution, this article presents the current practices, the problems, and points out the future research directions for a statistical system components’ line outage predictive model that can greatly enhance the DPSN against hurricane events for short‐term operational planning.

Inspec keywords: failure analysis; power system reliability; storms; risk management; telecommunication network reliability; statistical analysis; wind

Other keywords: resilience evaluation methodologies; hurricane events; statistical system components; relatively high resilience; electric power system; hurricane extreme wind speed intensity; post-event power system resilience enhancement techniques; distribution power system network; transmission network; large-scale power outages; predictive model; proactive statistical system component; DPSN; hurricanes; power system predictive failure model; hurricane risks; natural events

Subjects: Other topics in statistics; Winds and their effects in the lower atmosphere; Maintenance and reliability; Other topics in statistics; Reliability

http://iet.metastore.ingenta.com/content/journals/10.1049/tje2.12092
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