Your browser does not support JavaScript!
http://iet.metastore.ingenta.com
1887

access icon free Investigation on linearisation of data-driven transport research: two representative case studies

Transportation engineering, as a practical engineering discipline, relies heavily on the accurate calibration of importation parameters from field data. In the real world, most transport relations possess inherent non-linearity. Two prevailing methods for handling non-linear regression are the non-linear least-squares method (LSM) with an iterative solution, and linearisation for the non-linear regression function. The second method applies a linear regression method to solve the non-linear regression problem but requires a data transformation of the observations from variant coordinates, and the objective function is suspected to be changed accordingly. This work describes the authors’ investigation into the problem of non-linear regression through two illustrative examples, the calibration of three non-linear (either exponential or logarithmic) single-regime models for fundamental diagram and the regression of non-linear (power) bunker-consumption model, by applying the weighted LSM (WLSM) and the ordinary LSM to calibrate. It is found that linearising the regression model leads to deviations, and the data transformation can create even more concern with the WLSM because the weights can be redistributed after the data transformation. A further investigation into the linear regression and the non-linear regression gives more suggestions on the choice of regression method.

References

    1. 1)
      • 4. Wang, H., Li, H., Chen, Q.Y., et al: ‘Logistic modeling of the equilibrium speed-density relationship’, Transp. Res. A, Policy Pract., 2011, 45, (6), pp. 554566.
    2. 2)
      • 2. Sun, H., Liu, H.X., Xiao, H., et al: ‘Use of local linear regression model for short-term traffic forecasting’, Transp. Res. Rec., 2003, 1836, (1), pp. 143150.
    3. 3)
      • 21. Ronen, D.: ‘The effect of oil price on containership speed and fleet size’, J. Oper. Res. Soc., 2011, 62, (1), pp. 211216.
    4. 4)
      • 6. Wang, S., Meng, Q.: ‘Sailing speed optimization for container ships in a liner shipping network’, Transp. Res. Part E, Logistics Transp. Rev., 2012, 48, (3), pp. 701714.
    5. 5)
      • 12. Newell, G.F.: ‘Nonlinear effects in the dynamics of car following’, Oper. Res., 1961, 9, (2), pp. 209229.
    6. 6)
      • 5. Qu, X., Wang, S., Zhang, J.: ‘On the fundamental diagram for freeway traffic: a novel calibration approach for single-regime models’, Transp. Res. B, Methodol., 2015, 73, pp. 91102.
    7. 7)
      • 19. Meng, Q., Wang, T.: ‘A chance constrained programming model for short-term liner ship fleet planning problems’, Maritime Policy Manage., 2010, 37, (4), pp. 329346.
    8. 8)
      • 17. Ronen, D.: ‘The effect of oil price on the optimal speed of ships’, J. Oper. Res. Soc., 1982, 33, (11), pp. 10351040.
    9. 9)
      • 11. Greenberg, H.: ‘An analysis of traffic flow’, Oper. Res., 1959, 7, (1), pp. 7985.
    10. 10)
      • 10. Greenshields, B.D., Bibbins, J.R., Channing, W.S., et al: ‘A study of traffic capacity’, Highway Res. Board, 1935, 14, pp. 448477.
    11. 11)
      • 8. Nielsen, A.A.: ‘Least squares adjustment: linear and nonlinear weighted regression analysis’ (Danish National Space Center/Informatics and mathematical modelling, Technical Univ. of Denmark, Denmark, 2007, 2nd edn., 2012, 3rd edn., 2013).
    12. 12)
      • 3. Meng, Q., Qu, X.: ‘Bus dwell time estimation at bus bays: a probabilistic approach’, Transp. Res. C, Emerg. Technol., 2013, 36, pp. 6171.
    13. 13)
      • 16. Marquardt, D.W.: ‘An algorithm for least-squares estimation of nonlinear parameters’, J. Soc. Ind. Appl. Math., 1963, 11, (2), pp. 431441.
    14. 14)
      • 15. Levenberg, K.: ‘A method for the solution of certain non-linear problems in least squares’, Q. Appl. Math., 1944, 2, (2), pp. 164168.
    15. 15)
      • 20. Meng, Q., Wang, S.: ‘Optimal operating strategy for a long-haul liner service route’, Eur. J. Oper. Res., 2011, 215, (1), pp. 105114.
    16. 16)
      • 7. Motulsky, H.J., Ransnas, L.A.: ‘Fitting curves to data using nonlinear regression: a practical and nonmathematical review’, FASEB J., 1987, 1, (5), pp. 365374.
    17. 17)
      • 9. Qu, X., Zhang, J., Wang, S.: ‘On the stochastic fundamental diagram for freeway traffic: model development, analytical properties, validation, and extensive applications’, Transp. Res. B, Methodol., 2017, 104, pp. 256271.
    18. 18)
    19. 19)
      • 18. Corbett, J.J., Wang, H., Winebrake, J.J.: ‘The effectiveness and costs of speed reductions on emissions from international shipping’, Transp. Res. D, Transp. Environ., 2010, 14, (8), pp. 593598.
    20. 20)
      • 13. Underwood, R.T.: ‘Speed, volume, and density relationship: quality and theory of traffic flow’, Yale Bureau of Highway Traffic, 1961, pp. 141188.
    21. 21)
      • 14. Drake, J.S., Schofer, J.L., May, A.D.: ‘A statistical analysis of speed-density hypotheses’, Highway Res. Record, 1966, 154, pp. 5387.
http://iet.metastore.ingenta.com/content/journals/10.1049/iet-its.2019.0551
Loading

Related content

content/journals/10.1049/iet-its.2019.0551
pub_keyword,iet_inspecKeyword,pub_concept
6
6
Loading
This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address