12th International Conference on Transportation and Traffic Engineering (ICTTE 2023)
- Location: Hybrid Conference, Wuhan, China
- Conference date: 29-31 December 2023
- ISBN: 978-1-83724-081-4
- Conference number: CP872
- ICTTE 2023 aims to establish an effective academic exchange platform for experts and scholars in the fields of traffic engineering, logistics and transportation. The conference not only exchanged and discussed topics such as transportation planning and system optimization, traffic control and information technology, logistics and social economic development, and transportation safety, but also covered big data. High-speed rail technology, future transportation, urban brain, intelligent transportation, communication integration, new energy vehicles, sharing economy and green travel, and other hotspots and frontier topics in transportation.
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The construction path and practical exploration of "near zero carbon port"
- Author(s): Yi Zhang ; Ran Zhou ; Shitao Peng ; Lin Zheng ; Yisheng Wang ; Xin Zhang
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With the continuous improvement of green and low-carbon development requirements for ports, the concept of "near-zero carbon ports" has emerged and gradually become a hot topic in the industry. Based on the goals and requirements of the "dual carbon" strategy, this paper took the construction of "near zero carbon ports" as the starting point, conducted in-depth research and analysis of its development status, trends, and challenges, and took the C-section container terminal of Tianjin Port as an example to propose considerations for the construction path of "near zero carbon port".
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Spatio-temporal evolution of major port efficiency in Zhejiang Province under the background of "Belt and Road"
- Author(s): Yan Wang ; Yanyi Chen ; Li Ji
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Zhejiang Province, as a vital hub in China's "Belt and Road" strategy, holds significant research significance in terms of port efficiency. Ports, as crucial nodes in the trade and transportation system, play a pivotal role in evaluating port development through their operational efficiency. This study examines the impact of environmental factors, including inland economic level and regional industrial structure, on port efficiency and analyzes the spatiotemporal evolution of port efficiency using a three-stage DEA approach. The results indicate that the average port efficiency in Zhejiang Province from 2011 to 2020 is relatively low, exhibiting a certain degree of fluctuation over time with a stable upward trend. After removing the environmental factors, there is a substantial decrease in overall scale efficiency while pure technical efficiency shows a significant improvement, suggesting estimation bias in port efficiency due to environmental factors. Moreover, coastal ports demonstrate noticeably higher efficiency compared to inland ports in terms of spatial distribution. Finally, targeted strategies and recommendations are proposed to enhance the comprehensive competitiveness of Zhejiang Province's ports within the framework of China's "Belt and Road" strategy.
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A nonlinear optimization-based bus OD matrix prediction model under information deficiency
- Author(s): Yuyao Gao ; Yi Li ; Jinjie Yang ; Peng Zhang ; Wenyuan Wu ; Mingquan Shi
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OD(origin-destination) data, formed by the boarding and alighting points of all passengers, is crucial for bus scheduling and dispatching in ground public transportation. However, most cities only collect data on passenger boarding through fare collection systems, but the alighting information is missed, which makes analyzing OD data difficult. The common method for OD matrix research involves inferring passenger alighting points through travel chain theory, but this has limitations and high demands for data and computing power, making it hard to generalize. This model defines the OD matrix prediction problem as a nonlinear optimization problem based on basic passenger travel patterns and transforms it into a quadratic programming model. By calculating the global optimum solution, it can directly compute the parameters of the OD matrix and achieve accurate predictions at most stations. The model reduces dependence on historical data and allows for quick calculation of OD matrices, making it a valuable reference for incomplete database public transportation OD research. Experiments verified the model's accuracy, with average prediction error rates of OD matrix elements within 18%.
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Dynamic assessment of the vulnerability of emergency logistics system
- Author(s): Mengzhen Cheng ; Hongmei Shan ; Mengmeng Miao ; Yidan Qian ; Bo Wang
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Due to the uncertain interference of the external and internal environment of the system, the vulnerability of emergency logistics system (ELS) has become increasingly prominent. Based on the VSD (Vulnerability-Scoping-Diagram) model, this study provides a vulnerability assessment index of ELS with 16 indicators in 3 dimensions (exposure, sensitivity and adaptability). Then, a system dynamic model (SDM) is constructed to simulate and assess the ELS vulnerability and an empirical study is carried out by using the data of Shaanxi Province. The findings show that the ELS vulnerability is on the decline in Shaanxi from 2012 to 2020. Specifically, the adaptability is rising annually, the sensitivity shows a downward trend with a small fluctuation, and the curve of exposure is consistent with vulnerability and has a declining trend direction. The results give beneficial enlightenment for governors and other social organizations. This study provides a new way to explore and resolve the vulnerability issue of ELS.
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A recommended crash risk prediction model for freeway segment considering heterogeneous effects
- Author(s): Dandan Hu ; Xiaoxia Xue ; Zhiyu Li ; Yuxuan Liu ; Hao Ma ; Chengqian Li
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24
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Crash risk analysis has been conducted to investigate the crash mechanisms and analyze the contributing factors from the aspects of traffic operation and geometric design perspectives. Using Yongtaiwen freeway rear-end crashes, traffic flow, and road alignment data, this study focused on investigating the heterogeneous impact of different contributing factors on crash risk. Aiming at investigating the heterogeneous effects of geometric characteristics on crash risk, a Latent Class Analysis (LCA) method is proposed to classify the samples. Aiming at studying the heterogeneous effects of traffic operational states on crash risk, a Latent Profile Analysis (LPA) method is proposed to classify the samples. Based on the classified homogeneous subgroups of crashes, logit models were used to study the relationship between microscopic traffic flow variables and crash risk. In addition, a latent class logit (LCL) model was also developed to simultaneously analyze the heterogeneous effects of geometric design features and traffic operational states on crash risk. The modeling results showed that the LCA + logit model has better classification results and prediction performance than the LPA +logit model or the LCL model, demonstrating that the heterogeneous effect of geometric design characteristics of the road segment had better prediction accuracy in crash risk analysis.
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Research on the operation organization mode of multi-level rail transit network based on accessibility
- Author(s): Z K Song
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Strengthening regional multi-level rail transit connectivity can promote the sound development of the comprehensive transportation system of urban ag-glomerations. And it can promote the faster integration of regional cities and the improvement of overall competitiveness. This paper studies the problem of "how to choose the appropriate network operation organization mode". The evaluation index system is established, and the concept of accessibility is innovatively introduced. From the four aspects of urban development co-ordination, passenger service level, rail company operation effect and project implementation, the operation organization mode is determined by quantitative comparison. Finally, the research results are applied to the selection of operation organization mode of urban railway and urban rail transit in a city, which proves that the method has good applicability.
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Thermal stability control for high-speed trains under limited heat dissipation condition
- Author(s): Yiyang Tian ; Xiaoyun Feng ; Pengfei Sun
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37
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This paper investigates a thermal stability control method for high-speed trains which operates on complex mountain lines with long periods high-power traction. First, a finite element analysis (FEA) was conducted on the motor thermal model considering active air-cooled system. Next, an equivalent motor thermal model was established which was based on 2-node lumped parameter thermal network (LPTN) and an identification method for key parameters based on FEA result was proposed. Then, a motor load deploy strategy was proposed to ensure that each motor operates under safety temperature limitation, and a thermal stability control algorithm was designed to optimize all motors' operation status by predicting their temperatures. Finally, the effectiveness of both the equivalence thermal network model and the algorithm were verified through the case studies.
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Research on fuel consumption calculation based on QAR and ACR data
- Author(s): Fengfeng Liu
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Reducing fuel consumption is an important part of improving the efficiency and quality of civil aviation operations and realizing the national strategy of ‘peak carbon dioxide emissions’. The industry and academia still use the BADA (Base of Aircraft Data) data model as the benchmark for the calculation of fuel consumption , but this method has the shortcoming of many influencing factors and large errors in the calculation results. This paper proposed a new method for calculating fuel consumption based on QAR (Quick Access Recorder) and ACARS (Aircraft Communications Addressing and Reporting System) data. For QAR data, the fuel consumption is calculated based on the flight altitude and fuel flow indicators which was used to identify each stage of the flight. For ACARS data, fuel consumption is calculated based on several key action time points and remaining fuel flow. The accuracy of the two algorithms is higher than 95%, and the QAR method is more accurate, but ACARS method is more practical.
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Vehicle localization and tracking by using low-cost roadside millimeter-wave radar
- Author(s): Jiajun Peng and Shangbo Wang
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52
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This study develops a vehicle localization and tracking sys- tem based on a 24 GHz roadside MMW (Millimeter-Wave) radar. To mitigate MUI (Multipath Interference) caused by signal reflection in complex environment, this research pro- poses an integrated system that combines preprocessing, clus- tering, and trajectory estimation. A vehicle-tailored prepro- cessing algorithm is used to filter the raw data to reduce the al- gorithm complexity, followed by applying DBSCAN (Density- Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise) algo- rithm to handle unknown target counts in multi-vehicle sce- narios. Then, an innovative arc matching algorithm collab- orates with the radar to estimate vehicle trajectories. Ex- perimental results show that both Root Mean Square Error (RMS) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of vehicle trajectory matching are below 0.051 meters and have 67% target detec- tion accuracy.
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Research on prediction of product completion time in assembly jobshop based on SOA-RF
- Author(s): Shan Wu
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61
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With the development of computer and artificial intelligence technology, the transportation and production logistics industry is gradually realizing the deep integration of intelligence, informationization, and industrialization. This paper takes the assembly jobshop problem with high complexity as an example, using the output feature data of simulation models to explore the correlation between the product completion time in the assembly jobshop and its influencing factors, and propose a more accurate prediction method for the product completion time in the assembly jobshop. Firstly, using Plant Simulation software to build a complete dynamic assembly jobshop simulation model. Then, according to the production data obtained from the simulation model, conduct feature variable analysis, and statistically identify significant feature variables as inputs for the prediction model. Secondly, adopt machine learning algorithms such as support vector machines, decision trees, and random forests to train and compare prediction models based on significant feature data. To further improve prediction accuracy, combine seagull optimization algorithm to improve the random forest prediction model, and design the SOA-RF prediction model. The experimental results show that the three evaluation indicators (R2, RMSE, MSE) of SOA-RF were 0.9041, 10.17, and 103.44 on the test set, respectively. Compared with the comparative algorithm, it achieved better performance and could provide precise data support for production logistics activities.
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Evaluation of road performance and deicing effect of high-elastic/salt-storage asphalt pavement
- Author(s): Qing Guo ; Xiao-hong Yang ; Rui-liang Mu ; Yan-jiang Li ; Ming-zhi Sun
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66
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High-elastic/salt-storage asphalt pavement combines the advantages of high-elastic material and salt-storage material, which can achieve better deicing effect without reducing road performance. Aiming at the problem that the design of high-elastic/salt-storage pavement lack of unified evaluation index of deicing effect, a new evaluation method and index to describe the performance of deicing was detected. The main conclusions are as follows: 1) The road performance of the four mixtures of SBS, SBS+MFL, SBS+RP and SBS+MFL+RP are reduced, the influence degree of modified material can meet the requirements of the specification. 2) At the initial stage of traffic and the equivalent precipitation of 4mm road surface water, the freezing point of this technology is-6.9°C, while the freezing point of single salt-storage asphalt pavement is-1.7°C, and the freezing point of single high-elastic asphalt pavement is-3.5°C.
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Coupling and coordination of road freight and economic development in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city cluster
- Author(s): Yuanjia Guan ; Jiaqi Yang ; Yanyi Chen
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72
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In this paper, on the basis of elaborating the mechanism of the mutual coordination development of urban road freight and regional economy, the index system of coupling coordination degree between road freight and regional economy is established, and the mathematical model of coupling coordination degree is introduced to empirically analyze the coupling coordination status of road freight and regional economy in three areas of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city cluster. The results show that from 2013 to 2020, the overall level of comprehensive development of urban freight transport and regional economy in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei is in a trend of steady improvement, but the development of urban freight transport in Hebei Province is significantly better than that in Beijing and Tianjin, and the development of regional economy in Beijing is better than that in Hebei and Tianjin; in recent years, the coupled and coordinated development of road freight transport and regional economy in all three places is transformed into a good situation, and Hebei Province always keeps the three In recent years, the coupled and coordinated development of road freight and regional economy in all three regions has turned out to be good, and Hebei Province has always maintained the best status among the three. Based on the research results, corresponding conclusions and suggestions are proposed.
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Prediction of peak carbon emissions from transportation in shandong province under the "dual carbon" goal
- Author(s): Du Wenke and Wang Qian
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78
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Through implementing a forward-thinking strategy focused on fostering the emerging energy industry and achieving the sustainable development goals of our nation, a predictive study was carried out in order to accomplish a "dual carbon" objective in the transportation sector across key areas of pollution. In order to obtain this objective, a comprehensive analysis was conducted on carbon emissions data from recent years in Shandong Province, a significant transportation hub within China. This examination was utilized to determine the overall carbon footprint, complete with an assessment of the intensity and trajectory of emissions trends.Develop a comprehensive Autoregressive Moving Average (ARIMA) model, creates two distinct prediction scenarios: a benchmark scenario and a "dual carbon" target scenario, and utilize scenario prediction methodology to compare the developmental trend of carbon emissions in the two scenarios. The analysis demonstrates an increase of 27.093 million tons of carbon dioxide emissions in Shandong Province from 2005 to 2022, with total carbon emissions displaying a slow growth towards its peak and later a gradual descent. Despite the downward trend, the total value still surpasses 30 million tons, classifying it as a heavily emitting province, thereby hindering sustainable transportation construction.This highlights the significant hurdles that the energy conservation and emissions reduction goals of the transportation sector in Shandong Province must overcome. To expedite progress towards national sustainable development, it is crucial to enhance policies, energy technologies, and structural frameworks.
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Improving container shipping profitability by implementing target show-up rate and dead freight
- Author(s): Yujia Jiang and Yadong Wang
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84
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Container shipping has been regarded as the backbone of the global maritime logistics system. There usually exist severe cancellations of container slots bookings by the customers (i.e., consignors) in the container shipping market, which significantly affect the capacity utilization and the profitability of a shipping company. Inspired by the practice of the global shipping companies (such as Maersk), this paper proposes the concept of the target show-up rate and dead freight to control the customer's cancellation behaviour. The target show-up rate indicates the show-up rate of the booked slots that should be satisfied by the customers; otherwise, the dead freight will be charged by the shipping company for the unfulfillment of booked container slots. This paper first extends the Newsvendor model to attain the relationship among optimal booking number, target show-up rate and unit dead freight. Based on this relationship, an optimization model is formulated to optimize the target rate and dead freight to maximize profit of the shipping company. The optimal conditions of these two terms are also obtained. Finally, a case study shows that considering the target show-up rate and dead freight can significantly improve the profit of the shipping companies.
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Election theory of ship reference model and its application in motion modeling
- Author(s): Bin Mei ; Baochen Duan ; Heng Wang ; Chen Liu ; Jie Zhang
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90
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Reference model is highly important for ship motion control. This paper studies the election theory of reference model and applies it to ship motion modeling. Firstly, a large amount of ship sea trial data are used to construct the main scale matrix. Partial least squares (PLS) method is used to determine the importance of each scale, and the main scale vector of electing reference model is obtained. Secondly, on the basis of the similarity principle, a reference model-based ship motion modeling approach is proposed. Finally, the accuracy of the modeling method is verified by using standard ship model test data, and the acceleration, dynamics and kinematics terms are compared. The method proposed in this paper can provide a theoretical basis for reference model electing in the area of ship motion control and identification modeling, and can also be applied to ship maneuvering motion prediction.
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The level of labor quotas for commercial automobile Ro-Ro terminals based on TOPSIS
- Author(s): Yuxin Wang ; Tao Ding ; Yang Xu
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Currently, the major modes of transportation for the import and export of commercial cars are Ro-Ro because of its high volume and low cost. In order to address the lack of a scientific quota development approach for commercial vehicle Ro-Ro terminals, we present a TOPSIS-based quota development method in this study. The technique thoroughly evaluates the role of workers in Ro-Ro loading and unloading operations and takes into account the influence of three indicators on labor quota determination, namely the psychological quality, physical quality, and technical level of workers. By integrating the definition of the average advanced level with the weight coefficients of each index, the TOPSIS approach was utilized to thoroughly evaluate the employees and establish the labor quota level. The data collected at A Ro-Ro terminal also serves to validate the process. The findings demonstrate that the strategy suggested in this research can create a quota level that corresponds to the enterprise's actual production condition and can also serve as a guide for establishing and managing labor quotas in commercial Ro-Ro terminals.
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Heterogeneity analysis of passengers' choice behaviour between demand responsive train and traditional fixed train
- Author(s): Han Gao ; De-Wei Li ; Yong-Sheng Wang
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101
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Technological advances have drawn attention to demand responsive transportation as it changes passengers' travel behaviour and influences their travel choices. This study obtains data on passengers' travel choice behaviour through a stated preference survey and constructs a random parameters Logit model to analyse the effects of passengers' personal attributes and train attributes on the choice behaviour heterogeneity from the individual perspectives. Based on the travel distance, short-haul travel scenario (SHTS) and long-haul travel scenario (LHTS) are specifically simulated to assess the travel preferences of passengers under different scenarios. The research shows that passengers are more likely to choose demand responsive trains in both scenarios, and personal attributes such as gender and age are also important factors influencing train choice behaviour. Furthermore, the willingness-to-pay (WTP) analysis reveals that SHTS passengers are willing to pay CNY7.951 more for a 10min reduction in running time, and LHTS passengers are willing to pay CNY1.146 more for a 10min reduction in demand responsive time. The proposal of demand responsive trains for high-speed railways helps railway companies to optimize the use of train resources and promote sustainable development.
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Research on emergency control of highway traffic under traffic hazard-foggy weather
- Author(s): Li Yang ; Sheng Luo ; Chuan Zhao Zheng ; Qing Yun Cao ; Jiang Bi Hu
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107
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In order to further improve the traffic safety service and emergency control of highway under adverse weather, and to solve the problems of high traffic accidents rate and low traffic efficiency of highway under the weather of traffic hazard - fog, this paper proposed a traffic risk-oriented classification and control strategy for emergency situations. By analyzing the psychological and behavioral characteristics of drivers in foggy weather, it is proposed that the decreases in driver's visual recognition distance is the main causation of traffic disasters risk in foggy weather. Based on the impact degree of drivers' visual recognition distance decrease on operating speed, the weather of traffic hazard - fog in highway is divided into three risk levels: high, medium and low. Then by using the relationship model between visibility in foggy weather and driver's visual recognition distance, the study proposes the corresponding index thresholds of the early warning management and speed limit management for different risk levels of highway, and specifies the setting principles and length of the early warning section, finally forms a set of refined traffic emergency classification and control scheme for highway foggy segment.
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Research on the evaluation of green development level of large automated container ports
- Author(s): Yipei Zhang ; Qiaohong Zu ; Yu Zhang
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113
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In the context of low-carbon and green development, aiming at the question of green development level of large automated container ports, a new multidimensional index system is constructed to evaluate the green development level of large automated container ports which based on the DPSIR research framework and principle of sustainable development, comprehensively considering the five key evaluation indicators of driving, pressure, status, impact and response. Utilizing the characteristic of cloud model method that can convert qualitative and quantitative indicators, evaluate the green development level of Yangshan Port Phase IV. Through the analysis of the results, it proposes countermeasures to improve the green level, and provides theoretical basis and practical guidance for the green development of large automated container ports.
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Risk assessment of urban rail transit based on fuzzy consistent matrix and analytic hierarchy process
- Author(s): Yang Liu ; Liang Ma ; Yang Yang
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118
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The urban rail transit carries a large amount of passenger flow and has high operational reliability and safety requirements. Risk assessment of urban rail transit can improve the comprehensiveness and pertinence of operation and maintenance. In response to the problems of inconsistent comparison matrices and long decision-making time in traditional analytic hierarchy process, a risk assessment method for urban rail transit was designed by introducing fuzzy consistent matrices, combining fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method and analytic hierarchy process. A risk assessment index system and risk assessment model for urban rail transit were constructed. Based on actual operational data, experts conducted risk assessments on the urban rail transit in Chengdu and Hangzhou, and determined the risk factors that have a significant impact on the operational safety of the urban rail transit. Compared with the traditional analytic hierarchy process, the analysis results show that this method can effectively assess the risk of urban rail transit, provide reference for the operation and maintenance of urban rail transit, and has the advantages of consistent comparison matrices and high decision-making efficiency.