access icon free Experimentally validated partial least squares model for dynamic line rating

This study presents a model based on partial least squares (PLS) regression for dynamic line rating (DLR). The model has been verified using data from field measurements, lab tests and outdoor experiments. Outdoor experimentation has been conducted both to verify the model predicted DLR and also to provide training data not available from field measurements, mainly heavily loaded conditions. The proposed model, unlike the direct measurement based DLR techniques, enables prediction of line rating for periods ahead of time whenever a reliable weather forecast is available. The PLS approach yields a very simple statistical model that accurately captures the physical performance of the conductor within a given environment without requiring a predetermination of parameters as required by many physical modelling techniques. Accuracy of the PLS model has been tested by predicting the conductor temperature for measurement sets other than those used for training. Being a linear model, it is straightforward to estimate the conductor ampacity for a set of predicted weather parameters. The PLS estimated ampacity has proven its accuracy through an outdoor experiment on a piece of the line conductor in real weather conditions.

Inspec keywords: power transmission lines; least squares approximations; regression analysis

Other keywords: outdoor experiment; model-predicted DLR; experimentally-validated partial least square model; measurement sets; PLS regression; weather forecast reliability; dynamic line rating; field measurement; linear model; parameter predetermination; statistical model; PLS-estimated ampacity; conductor ampacity; physical modelling technique; conductor temperature prediction; lab test

Subjects: Interpolation and function approximation (numerical analysis); Other topics in statistics; Power transmission, distribution and supply

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